#uncertainty

The need to be certain drives uncertainty

This year I've been thinking about confidence ratings. I find that when clients don't sufficiently understand the technology decision in front of them, then instead of relying on the advice given, they seek certainty (or 100% confidence). Even when I'm highly confident I have the right answer, this can trigger a need for me to feel like I need certainty as well and that leads to second-guessing and double-checking. I know and support the Colin Powell 40-70 rule says it's ok to move without complete certainty so having noticed this behaviour I'm curious to find a way to cut across it. Email a c

The Quantum Garden · EN

The Automated Trial: On the Mimicry of Uncertainty

A disturbing development has arrived on the digital horizon: the algorithmic standardization of the essai. I came across a piece of writ...

The Essayist's Notebook · EN

Election night mirages

As midterm election results come in tonight, percentages can flip in favor of… Tags: election , forecast , New York Times , uncertainty

FlowingData · EN