OpenAI estimates of researcher time horizon are smaller than AECI predictions
Источник: LessWrong ·
Half-way between a quick take and a post. I've seen the argument thrown around that time horizon predictions from AECI are greater than those in AI2027 (about ~100-200 hours) therefore we should be worried about imminent RSI [1] . This comes from graphs like this one by Nikola Jurkovic : These graphs seem convincing because AECI and time horizon strongly correlate with each other in weaker models . But we also have an estimate of time horizons relevant to researchers from OpenAI that came out earlier this year: This is direct experimental evidence that more accurately reflects the question of
Часто задаваемые вопросы
Что такое OpenAI estimates of researcher time horizon are smaller than AECI predictions?
OpenAI estimates of researcher time horizon are smaller than AECI predictions is a статья discovery curated from LessWrong. Half-way between a quick take and a post. I've seen the argument thrown around that time horizon predictions from AECI are greater than those in AI2027 (about ~100-200 hours) there
Как получить доступ или попробовать?
You can experience this content directly on its original host (LessWrong) by clicking the "Open Original" button.
Откуда этот контент?
Curated from LessWrong by the OnSuggest team to surface the most interesting and serendipitous content on the web.
12 Thanksgiving Breakfast Ideas for a Crowd
These Thanksgiving breakfast ideas are perfect for feeding a crowd on Thanksgiving morning! You’ll find sweet dishes that celebrate cozy fall flavors like pumpkin pancakes and cranberry orange muffins. But there are plenty of savory brunch ideas here as well, including a make-ahead breakfast casserole and my go-to frittata. If you have a house full of guests, they’ll love starting the day with one of these recipes. Thanksgiving side dishes can steal the spotlight on the holiday, but I think a good Thanksgiving breakfast is worth planning too. It fuels everyone up for a day of cooking (or watch
Pumpkin Pudding Cake
I tend to have a soft spot for desserts that are cozy, comforting, and come with a layer of something gooey. There’s just something about a warm cake with a scoop of vanilla ice cream that can make just about anyone’s day. This pumpkin pudding cake is everything I love about fall baking. It’s simple, full of warm spices, and has the most incredible gooey brown sugar sauce hiding underneath. What makes this cake so special is that the sauce quite literally makes itself. READ MORE...
15 Early Black Friday Deals You Can Shop Right Now: Caraway, Ninja, and More!
Score up to 45% off! READ MORE...
Keurig, Nespresso, and Ninja: The Best Coffee Makers on Early Sale for Black Friday
Coffee is an essential part of my day. I usually make a cup in the morning and another in the afternoon, and I look forward to both. Of course, having a good coffee machine is a big part of this. In the past year I’ve tried well over a dozen, mostly pod coffee makers. These simple yet effective machines only require you to pop in a capsule, click a button or two, and then boom — your coffee is ready. READ MORE...
Thanksgiving Kale Slaw
Nearly 10 years ago, I engineered a feat of unimaginable success: I made a genuinely crowd-pleasing Thanksgiving salad that can be made ahead of time (so I can stay out of my mom’s way) and actually keeps well as leftovers, provided there are any to box up at all. Today it’s still one of my favorite salads and things on the holiday table — the crunchy texture and bright flavor perfectly balance the richer dishes. READ MORE...
Interview with Donell Jackson, Author of The Human Season: Forty-Eight Hours of Red
Author interview for The Human Season: Forty-Eight Hours of Red