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Democrats won big. Can they lower your grocery bill?

Source: NPR Arts ·

Affordability concerns were top of mind for voters heading into the midterms, as tariffs and the war in Iran drove up prices, including food costs. Now, Americans are expecting relief from Washington.

What is Democrats won big. Can they lower your grocery bill??

Democrats won big. Can they lower your grocery bill? is a article discovery curated from NPR Arts. Affordability concerns were top of mind for voters heading into the midterms, as tariffs and the war in Iran drove up prices, including food costs. Now, Americans are expecting rel

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Article · Culture & ideas

Does expecting automated grading degrade models’ research taste?

TL;DR: We make 3 open-weights models believe that their answers are being graded by an automated-verifier program, rather than a human. We then measure how well they predict expert reviewers’ judgments of AI-safety research proposals ( the TASTE benchmark ). We induce the belief in two ways: SDF (Synthetic document finetuning) Activation steering. In each of these conditions, the machine-grading belief gives lower expert agreement than the human-grading belief. The models’ explanations also shift toward feasibility and away from conceptual contribution. This raises a concern for automated AI s

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Article · Culture & ideas

Advocating for a Shared AI Safety Compute Cluster

The aim of this post is to start a discussion about the idea of a shared cluster used by the AI Safety community; we outline the practical problems we’ve seen and some possible solutions, rather than a finished design. What, Who, Why, How Being around several AI safety fellowships and hubs, we’ve noticed a common pattern: we have a generous amount of money for compute; of course we need it to run inference, train models, and extract activations from models of a reasonable size (reasonable enough to exhibit the behaviors we want to study). We usually end up renting GPUs from providers like RunP

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Article · Culture & ideas

AI R&D Is Accelerating Towards Potential RSI in 2027

METR came out with an extensive report on how much AI is accelerating AI R&D at Anthropic, and thus how close we might be to recursive self-improvement (RSI) and how far that might go. This is one of the most important questions in the world. Their answer: Things are already accelerating on the order of a 2x speedup. This is several months ahead of the AI 2027 timeline. A naive extrapolation says we may be less than a year away from full RSI. There are no clear bottlenecks in the way. This report updated many towards shorter timelines. This is consistent with what OpenAI and Anthropic themselv

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Article · Culture & ideas

Knowledge of graders can mediate selection for grader-targeting reasoning through RL

TL;DR: We insert knowledge of specific grading processes via SDF. We then show that models RL’d on environments with these graders exhibit grader-targeting reasoning, and generalise to optimising held-out environments with graders that were described in the SDF mix but not trained on during RL. Figure 1: Outline of our experiments. (Left) We use SDF to instil knowledge of grading on different subsets of environments. (Middle) We then perform RL on one half of the set of environments, which are In-Distribution (ID) for RL. We observe that models with ID grader knowledge exhibit faster learning

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Article · Culture & ideas

The economics of honeypots

Of course as an economist I am always wondering what the equilibrium is. And, in this case, what is the scarce factor? It seems that in the case under current consideration, the returns to honeypotting are very high for somebody. Maybe for China, maybe for the shorts, or maybe for parts of the Deep State […] The post The economics of honeypots appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION .

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Article · Culture & ideas

End the State Veto on Power Lines

It’s one of the peculiarities of American regulatory history that a natural gas pipeline can cross state lines with a single federal permit, but oil and electricity must run a gauntlet of state approvals. When a power line crosses one state to reach another, for example, the intervening state often imposes exorbitant tolls or, worse, […] The post End the State Veto on Power Lines appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION .

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